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Protection of local steel industry urged

Consumer index in March reached six month high

FTI expresses concern over rising oil prices

BOT chief downplays rising oil prices

Thai finance minister says ASEAN growth target depends on U.S. recovery

BOI targets 5 industries for proactive marketing campaign

EXIM Bank yet to identify cause of export drop

Survey says Thailand’s investment promotion strategies rank top in SEA

Protection of local steel industry urged

The government should increase the standard of steel imports and raise their surcharges to protect the local steel industry from the impact of dumping from overseas, according to a senior official at the Steel and Iron Institute.

Vikrom Vatcharakrup, director of the institute, said the Commerce Ministry needs to closely monitor the import of the steel after the United States, the European Union, Malaysia, and Mexico issued measures to prevent the dumping of steel in these countries.

The move, he believed, would make steel exporting countries focus on seeking new markets, including Thailand, and a dumping strategy would be adopted to penetrate the markets. Because of this, the government must come up with additional protective measures other than the imposition of more surcharges on imported steel.

In particular, it should tighten steel import standards of the Thai Industrial Standards Institute for various kinds of rolled steel. Vikrom said, “The dumping of steel products (into Thailand) is more likely to happen now that the US and EU issued measures to protect their steel industry. Therefore, the government needs to pay special attention to the matter to avert the impact of dumping on Thailand’s steel industry.” (TNA)


Consumer index in March reached six month high

The consumer confidence index of all categories in March reached its highest level in six months, signaling consumers are beginning to have more confidence in the economic upturn. However, rising oil prices and declining exports were a cause of concern that could undermine that confidence according to Thanavath Phonvichai, director of the Center of Economic and Business Forecasting of the Thai Chamber of Commerce University.

Thanavath said that confidence in the overall economy increased to 73.2 points last month from 70.7 in February, in the current economy to 62.7 from 60.8, and in the future economy (six months ahead) to 83.6 from 80.6.

The figure for future job opportunities stood at 68.1 points in March compared with 67 in February, and for future incomes at 95.1 against 90.6.

The National Economic and Social Development Board revealed the Thai economy grew at the rate of 2.1% in the fourth quarter of last year, resulting in the country enjoying economic growth of 1.8% in 2001, higher than the 1.5% as earlier projected. The NESDB also lifted its economic growth projection this year to 2-3% from 1.3-2.7%.

The expected recovery in the global economy, particularly that of the United States, is expected to boost Thai exports and the overall economy.

Thanavath said negative factors that could affect the index included higher oil retail prices and declines in export receipts by 7.3% in January and 6.1% in February. (TNA)


FTI expresses concern over rising oil prices

The Federation of Thai Industries expressed concern that rising oil prices would affect the country’s economic recovery and has asked the government to come up with measures to ease the impact.

Prapat Pothivorakul, who was recently elected as new chairman, said FTI remains confident the Thai economy will grow 3-5% this year as the government expects. However, the oil price hike could impede economic recovery unless the government can assure people that it has concrete measures in place to deal with the problem.

Prapat said the FTI thinks oil prices will still fluctuate in the next three months. To protect itself from the price volatility, the government should seek new sources of oil, particularly in Asia, to supersede the existing ones and try to keep the local currency stable at 43-44 baht to the dollar. Should the baht weaken further it is likely that local oil prices will continue to rise. He said FTI has asked member producers to try to maintain wholesale prices of products as long as possible and not to exploit the situation with a price hike because many producers still have goods in stock.

Meanwhile, Apisit Rujikiatikamchorn, senior executive vice president of PTT Plc, said local fuel prices are unlikely to increase further in the short term because prices of oil packages have not yet changed significantly. (TNA)


BOT chief downplays rising oil prices

Bank of Thailand’s governor, M.R. Pridiyathorn Devakula downplayed mounting concerns over rising oil prices in the world market due to renewed violence in the Middle East, saying it would have little impact on the local economy.

Previously, some academics raised concerns that a continued increase in global oil prices would more or less impede the recovery of the Thai economy.

The BOT chief said fuel prices in the world market remained volatile now because of uncertainties over the situation in the Middle East. This volatility makes it difficult to conclude whether the rising oil prices will exceed the level he sees appropriate for the country’s economic recovery. He needs more time to assess the oil price direction.

He said in the view of the central bank the current oil prices are at a level that will not negatively impact the nation’s economy. However, prices are fluctuating in the region.

M.R. Pridiyathorn said what he was more concerned with was the country’s declining exports in the first two months of this year. The central bank is ready to cooperate with the government in boosting exports. It will closely supervise the movement of the currency exchange to ensure it will not hinder exports.

“We still monitor the baht movement closely and continuously to ensure its stability so it can contribute to the country’s export growth,” he said. (TNA)


Thai finance minister says ASEAN growth target depends on U.S. recovery

Yangon, Myanmar (AP) Thailand’s ambitious economic growth target can be achieved only if the economy of its biggest export market, the United States, recovers sufficiently, the Thai finance minister said recently. Other members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations also require a boost from the U.S. economy to recover fully from the affects of the 1997 financial crisis, Finance Minister Somkid Jatusripitak said.

“I think right now ASEAN countries can stand on their own strength. If the U.S. economy improves, it boosts our recovery,” Somkid said from Yangon where he was attending a meeting of finance ministers of the 10-member ASEAN.

“Especially in Thailand, I think the momentum is very strong now. The fourth quarter (economic growth) reached 2.1 percent compared to earlier forecasts of 1 percent,” Somkid said.

Thailand’s economy is largely export driven with high technology products including automobiles accounting for over 60 percent of Thai exports. Information technology exports to the United States and Asia total up to 10 percent of the country’s gross domestic product, and semiconductor exports alone account for 4 percent of the GDP.

Asked about the feasibility of Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra’s target of 3.5 percent economic growth for Thailand in 2002, Somkid said, “It depends on the U.S. economy. If the U.S. economy improves, I think we can reach that target.” The United States is the biggest market for Thai goods, accounting for about 20 percent of its exports.

Somkid gave an upbeat assessment of the region’s financial situation, saying the public debt is now under control in most countries. “Most countries in ASEAN are improving, at least three or four countries expect a balanced budget within a few years,” he said. He said he didn’t see any factors threatening to derail the region’s nascent recovery from the global economic slowdown. “I think if we can be united as one, there’s no risk.”


BOI targets 5 industries for proactive marketing campaign

The Board of Investment (BOI), chaired by Industry Minister Suriya Jungrungreangkit, has announced that five key industries have been identified as “target industries” that will be the focus of a proactive marketing campaign to attract investment into Thailand.

The five industries - agro-industry, automotive, fashion, electronics (including information technology and telecommunications), and high-value services - were identified following consultations with relevant organizations, such as the Ministry of Industry and the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) based on comparative advantages, market potential, and image projected for the country.

Agro-industry is an industry that offers extremely high potential, with the objective of utilizing fundamental strengths to move to higher-added-value agro-processing, improving product quality, and sustainability. Thailand has an abundant supply of many raw materials, such as rubber, and there is certainly scope to increase and improve production.

The opportunity within Thailand’s vibrant automotive industry is to further develop the vibrant parts and component manufacturing sector for both automobiles and motorcycles. In addition to producing for end-product assemblers, there is also the potential to produce replacement parts, not only for Thailand, but also the region.

The electronics industry, which includes information technology and telecommunications (ICT), is important as it will form the basis for Thailand’s transition to a knowledge-based economy.

Fashion, particularly the jewelry, garment and leather sectors, is another industry with tremendous upside potential. The Board believes by developing product design and building up Thai products and brands, Thailand has the potential to become the fashion center for the region.

High value-added services are industries that have the potential to enhance Thailand’s reputation in the global marketplace. Examples of these services that are particularly attractive include long-stay tourism, IT software services, and print houses and printing.

The next step will be to perform an analysis of each the five industries, taking into consideration factors such as strengths, weaknesses, competitive situations and support factors, in order to develop industry-specific marketing programs to encourage investment. The Board expects that these analyses will be completed by the end of next month.


EXIM Bank yet to identify cause of export drop

Theera Viphuchanin, acting president of the Thailand’s EXIM bank, said the overall economy had improved, but negative growth in exports in January and February was a cause for concern. He conceded the bank remained unable to identify the exact cause of the export fall, saying its customers appeared not to be significantly affected by the decline.

The product price fall in the world market might have an effect on some farm goods such as frozen shrimp, but that was not the main cause for the export drop. Neither was the fluctuation of foreign exchange rates. If the baht moves in the range of 34-44 baht to the dollar exporters will probably not be seriously affected. Therefore, the bank is still assessing the exact cause of the export decline during that period.

Theera said, however, the global economy is signaling a recovery as the major economies such as the United States and Japan are providing a clearer picture of turnaround. Other key economies in Asia including South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore, have also picked up.

He suggested that exporters adjust their business to meet the needs of trading partners, most of which are developed countries, by improving product quality to meet international standards. He added that they must avoid child labor abuse and using raw materials that are mixed with substances hazardous to consumers.

He also warned local exporters to keep a watch on China which could grab market share from Thailand as the country enjoys cheaper labor costs and more abundant raw materials. (TNA)


Survey says Thailand’s investment promotion strategies rank top in SEA

Thailand’s investment promotion strategies are most favored among foreign investors, compared to those of other countries in Southeast Asia and China, according to a survey conducted by Assumption University. Investors polled also considered the quality of Thai labor the best in the region as well.

Interviews were conducted with 571 foreign investors on a random basis. Those questioned also voted Thailand as the friendliest country in the region. For such areas as raw material adequacy and potential of marketing growth, Thailand was ranked second after China.

The ABAC survey asked the investors’ opinions in 20 areas. Singapore was ranked top in the areas of business management, infrastructure, security in life and assets, quality of life, political stability, and good governance.

More than half of the investors were satisfied with Thailand in such areas as food prices, people’s quality of life, attitude of Thai colleagues, attitude of Thai workers, infrastructure, convenience in traveling, facilities fees, security in life and assets, people’s freedom, political stability, tax rates, business management and quality of local business partners, potential of business expansion, benefits and allowance for foreigners to own businesses, contract commitment, inflation rates, availability of capital, market size and growth, and economic stability.

The investors, however, saw Thailand’s traffic and pollution problems the worst in the region. They also ranked Thailand at the second worst place in corruption, red-tape and bureaucracy problems. (TNA)