BANGKOK, Thailand – A Suan Dusit Poll conducted by Suan Dusit University reveals that a majority of Thai respondents are interested in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with many believing it will impact U.S.-Thailand trade policies, though the Thai economy is expected to remain stable regardless of the outcome. The survey was conducted both online and in-person with 1,247 participants from October 22-25.
Key Findings
- Interest in U.S. Election News:
77.47% of respondents expressed an interest in following the U.S. election.
22.53% reported no interest.
- Expectations for Thai Media Coverage:
67.74% want Thai media to present neutral and comprehensive information.
56.26% wish to see analysis on the potential impacts on Thailand.
54.25% are looking for detailed information on each candidate’s policies.
- Perceived Impacts on Thailand:
73.70% believe there will be changes in U.S.-Thailand trade policies.
51.73% think it may influence democracy promotion and political cooperation.
50.20% expect shifts in diplomatic and international relations.
- Economic Outlook for Thailand Post-Election:
57.02% feel Thailand’s economy will likely remain the same.
40.90% are optimistic it could improve.
Only 2.08% think it may worsen.
- Predicted Election Outcome:
43.06% anticipate a victory for Kamala Harris (Democrat).
38.81% expect Donald Trump (Republican) to win.
18.13% are uncertain of the likely winner.
These results suggest that Thais are closely watching the U.S. election, particularly regarding potential impacts on trade. Despite any political changes, the majority expect the Thai economy to remain stable.
