Money matters:
Graham Macdonald MBMG International Ltd.
Art for art’s sake or your wallet?
An interesting study of alternative investments in the second
issue of Opalesque A Squared looked at a couple of investments that, even with
our open-mindedness, we haven’t yet taken any exposure to - Fine Art and antique
violins.
The claim is that “good quality art work” that comes from good or great artists
and can often be acquired at a price that lends itself to an appreciation at
times of as much as 40% in a year or 100% within three years. In general, in the
art market, there does seem to be a correlation to economics in that in boom
times art prices increase and at others they can fall. There now exist art
indices - these serve as a good guide and provide an overview of the market, but
these, per se, do not imply a compelling case for art as an investment class.
Whether, at a micro level, asset selection can generate significant out
performance is the key question here - i.e., is the art market so inefficient in
its pricing that a smart art investor can consistently outsmart the market and
accumulate consistent gains through well considered trades rather than just
relying on an asset class that is ultimately correlated to economic
fundamentals?
One potential source of alpha is the ability to source art through distressed
sales. The correlations also vary from one art category to another -
contemporary art exhibits the closest correlation to boom & bust cycles. There
are 70 different categories - investing in “The Old Masters” has the least
correlation to equities as it tends to be driven by collectors and museums that
are willing to pick up the price tag even during economic downturns.
Similarities between the art and the specialist antique market are obvious.
Antique stringed instruments are every bit as unique and irreplaceable items.
The potential returns offered are virtually uncorrelated with any other asset
class, hold steady over as great works of art. The proponents of investing in
antique violins assert that the risks of doing so are low and inexpensive to
hedge. Correlations exist amongst the various makers, age and condition of
string instruments. As with old masters, the “antique value” of a rare
collectable is partially quantifiable - even at times when demand falls there
are never enough old Italian high end instruments around. Similarly a
speculative value, like that with contemporary art, surrounds less known makers
from this century - instruments dating back to the 1920s have already
experienced this - some investors believe that there is a compelling case to
“buy and hold” less familiar makers from the 1930s to 1960s until they also
start to appreciate.
There are certain principles and factors used by professional art and antique
instrument investors - invest in a great work by a second rate artist than a
poor work by one of the greatest artists.
Have the means to acquire a diversified portfolio of high quality art (ideally
private investors should have at least USD 5-10,000,000 available for allocation
into their fine art holdings within their overall investment portfolios).
Smaller sums such as USD100,000 could finance the acquisition of one good
painting but commensurately rolls up the risk as there is no diversification.
Specialist art funds generally require minima of at least USD250,000. For lower
budgets, a minimum of USD30,000 could be sufficient to start to invest into
antique string instruments, which can also be acquired through syndicates or
participation in an investment trust. Specialists can structure syndicates as
investment vehicles to support and fund the acquisition of music instruments.
Targeted returns from art tend to be stated as between 10-15% annually
compounded over a span of 3 - 7 years. With investments in contemporary art -
returns can be between 20% and 100% in a year. Since launch in 2004, the Fine
Art Fund has achieved an annual return of 58%. Over the past 50 years,
investment into string instruments is claimed to have returned an average of
8-15% annually.
Investors in art should be prepared to ride out the vicissitudes of fashion as
well as economics, and the minimum holding period should be at least 3 to 10
years.
For private investors the spread between buy & sell price can be as high as 30%
per transaction, making it extremely difficult to generate net returns in the
short to medium term - for institutional investors this can be reduced to 5% or
less.
Many art funds have failed to assemble and maintain a team of good and
independent experts. One fund claims that, “There are 50 sought after experts,
of which we have 8. It is rather difficult to get more than a few of them to
work together.” Adequate critical mass is, for want of a better word, critical.
According to one leading art fund manager, the art market is not going through a
bubble. Although he states that, “some of the top 200 artists have peaked ...
there are thousands of artists out there.” Gerhard Richter, Sigmar Polke and
Georg Baselitz are all popular at the moment at a good price.
There is an element of self-fulfilling investment due to the relatively small
size of the art market - with an estimated amount of USD30bn invested in art,
institutional investors making allocations of USD1.5bn have the capacity to
directly influence the market. The market for fine instruments is similar -
presently valued at approximately USD22 billion, but, surprisingly perhaps,
growing as instruments made by newer makers have become more prominent.
Art critiques can affect prices to some extent - therefore it’s vital to be in
tune with the more influential museum curators and art dealers. The market is
certainly open to anyone with an interest in diversifying their portfolio. All
of which is very interesting but hasn’t yet appeared on the MBMG ‘buy’ radar.
The above data and research was compiled from sources
believed to be reliable. However, neither MBMG International Ltd nor its
officers can accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the above
article nor bear any responsibility for any losses achieved as a result of any
actions taken or not taken as a consequence of reading the above article. For
more information please contact Graham Macdonald on
[email protected]@mbmg-international.com
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Snap Shots: by Harry Flashman
Break the portrait rules
This week it is back to people photography - the kind of snaps
that most people take most of the time. There is really no
secret in taking good portraits and this column has been over
the “rules” many times. Here we go again, try to ensure that
your lighting is coming from above and slightly off to the side,
use a long lens (around 135 mm is ideal) and look out for
distracting backgrounds (see all my previous columns on
backgrounds). If you can, use a wide f stop (around f 4 is good)
and get the subject to turn his or her head slightly, while you
move around them, snapping away as the facial expression
changes. You will get a good shot doing just that. But it will
be a ‘good’ shot, not a ‘brilliant’ shot.
Here’s how. Sometimes you can get a brilliant shot, just by
breaking the “rules”. Take a look at this week’s photographs.
Portraits with plenty of punch, plenty of personality and a
sense of immediacy. Long lens? No! Lighting off to the side and
from above? No! Attention to the background? No! Yet these are
good portraits and all the rules have been broken. So what or
who do you believe?
Well, the first thing is to look again at the photographs. These
shots get their immediacy from the activity in the shot. One man
is half way through a large baguette, and has obviously been
interrupted during eating. In fact, in mid munch. The second
shot has violinist looking directly at the photographer, while
obviously in the middle of a number. Neither of these being
great “portraits” but both have that immediacy and action,
making the shot come alive.
Now you could get these shots with the long lens, but by using
one, you would stop the interaction between the subject and the
photographer, being so far away while you take the shot. By
using a wide angle lens, in this case a 24 mm, the subject was
surprised by the photographer with the closeness. The subjects
could not escape. They were caught by the photographer, like
rabbits in front of the headlights of a car. It is not
stretching your credulity to say that both photographs show that
startled look of, “Where did you just bob up from?”
Now the lighting. While the “ideal” is the light coming from
above at 45 degrees and slightly from the side, both these shots
were taken with a flash mounted on the camera. Nothing fancy in
any way. To have tried to set up the “ideal” lighting would have
meant that the subject became a knowing part of the photograph.
Immediacy? None! Surprise? Gone!
The moral of all this is simple. If you want “dynamic action”
portraits, break all the rules of classical portraiture. You are
really now in the realms of photo-journalism. This is the walk
up close, “in-your-face”, paparazzi style of photography. You
may, of course, get an earful of abuse from some subjects, but
you have to be brave and brazen it all out. After all, look at
the shot you may get.
Please note, however, that there is one rule that was not broken
- and that was to make the subject the “hero” and the dominant
part of the photograph. The subjects in these photographs fill
the frame, and with the wide angle lens that did mean walking in
close. Real close! Try getting in close this weekend. With the
camera!
Modern Medicine:
by Dr. Iain Corness, Consultant
A bloody pain in the bottom
Do you have rectal pain and bleeding? That’s what I meant when I wrote “a
bloody pain in the bottom”. Embarrassing, but usually a minor problem, known
as “piles”.
Piles are one of the most common ailments around. Embarrassing and very
often a pain in the bottom, to use the very apt phrase! The medical term for
piles is haemorrhoids (hemorrhoids if you come from the left hand side of
the Atlantic), which shows why we don’t commonly use that name - too long
and too hard to spell! I have often said that the reason that the medical
course is six years is that it takes five years to learn how to spell the
long words, but then, I’m joking of course.
So just what are piles and do you get them from sitting on wet grass, as the
old wives will tell you? Let’s deal with the grass first. You do not get
piles from sitting on anything, be it grass, newly mown or otherwise. End of
the grass story. Piles are simply ‘varicose veins’ of the anus. You see,
around the edge of the anus there is a very rich plexus of arteries and
veins and it is possible for the veins to become distended and eventually
form a grape-like structure that can even protrude from the anus itself. A
classical “pile”.
The biggest problem with haemorrhoids is acute bleeding. Embarrassing as
mentioned before, but can actually be such as to run you out of iron and you
end up anaemic. Other symptoms include local soiling, discomfort and
prolapse. You can also get a thrombosis in one of these protruding piles
that can be very painful indeed. Ask anyone who has ever had one (or two).
There are lots of theories as to why we get haemorrhoids. Many women feel
that they are the result of pregnancy or straining during childbirth, but
since men get them as well that would appear to shoot that theory down in
flames. Both sexes can get piles. A lack of dietary fiber has also been
given the nod as a cause, but personally I am not convinced, as many people
with great fiber diets still get piles. Constipation and straining at toilet
does appear to have a bearing (bearing down?), but I honestly feel that the
real reason relates very simply to our stage of development in the history
of mankind.
My theory (Darwinian, I admit) is as follows - we used to walk on all fours,
like all the other quadrupeds. Look at our first cousins, the monkeys, and
they are still wandering around with knuckles in the dirt (and I have met
some people that still do this), but many moons ago after seeing our
reflections, we decided we looked better standing on our hind legs, so we
learned to walk erect. This was fine, other than the fact that the valves in
the veins in our legs and ano-rectal region were not up to the additional
pressure the column of blood was exerting from the heart, now a meter or so
higher than the valves. Straight out hydrodynamics.
Fortunately piles are relatively easy to fix, and the common rubber-banding
technique will be successful for most. The only real danger in this
condition is in ignoring the bleeding, thinking “It’s only piles.” As
mentioned before, this bleeding can lead to anaemia, but the biggest problem
can be the fact that rectal bleeding might just be a symptom of something
more sinister, such as cancer, and not haemorrhoids, and it is possible to
have both complaints at the same time.
The answer is to never ignore bleeding (from any cause) and get your doctor
to check. It may be embarrassing - but it could be life saving.
Heart to Heart with Hillary
Dear Hillary,
Could all this fat belly dancers gentlemen understand one day, how love
between young and beautiful girl work? First try to figure out you 60 years
old falling in love with a 90 years old woman, is it possible? It’s the same
for a 20 years girl to fall in love with you. For the girl you are only a
sponsor. You put money on the girl and you got back something, sometimes
there is more than one sponsor and every one get a part of the lady and
maybe she might find a richer sponsor and let you down that’s the way is
life.
‘Ercule Poirot
‘Ercule!
How lucky am I? Getting a famous French detective to come and unravel the
great mysteries of life in Thailand. Unbelievable! But ‘Ercule, mon ami, you
just might ‘ave made ze little supposition that may not be zo correct, Cher
Petal! Zere are men who ‘ave loved women much older zan zey are. Zere are
women who ‘ave loved men much older zan zey are too. Ze big difference iz ze
magic ingredient called “love”. Love overcomes all barriers, but zere is a
difference between “love” and ze financial arrangements. By ze way, ‘Ercule,
I seem to have lost my gold pen. Did ze maid take it?
Dear Hillary,
Everybody must know by now if they read your column that there is a
difference between the girls who work in the bar and the girls who work in
regular jobs. What you say is for us to look for female company from the
regular job girls. What you don’t say is that the regular jobby ones can’t
speak English, are difficult to meet or get to know, while the ones who work
from the bars can speak English and are easy to meet and are easy to get to
know. For my money, give me the bar girl every time.
Francis
Dear Francis,
How astute of you, my Petal! Yes, there are great differences, and even more
than the ones you mention, even such things as educational level. If all you
are looking for is some female company, then the bar is the right place, but
the problem comes when the customer (guys like you) then falls in love with
their English speaking, easy to meet and know girl. Thai girls do not choose
to work out of a bar unless they are looking for quick money, without having
any necessary qualifications to put them in high salary jobs. They are using
their looks, their (presumed) sexuality and their ability to get money from
their customers. ‘Ercule in the letter above yours calls it ‘sponsorship’,
and he is really quite correct. You are paying for a commodity by meeting
the sponsorship fees demanded. When you fall in love with someone who is
used to being fully sponsored, the relationship is not really on the
emotional plane, but in the financial one. And like all business deals, you
can get burned. And many like you do. As you wrote “For my money, give me
the bar girl every time.” And that’s what it is, Petal, your money and you
are entitled to spend it any way you please, but don’t complain if you find
it has all gone, and the girl’s “affections” with it.
Dear Hillary,
I have a somewhat delicate problem, so you will forgive me if I do not sign
this fax to you. I am a single man, working in the Sand Box and I come here
regularly for many weeks at a time. On these trips here I generally find
that there will be a young lady who indicates that she would like to take
care of me, and a suitable arrangement can be entered into. This is great
for a bachelor like me, but I also want to play the field a bit too. One
young lady has really begun to sink the hooks into me, and I can see a
problem coming up, because I own my own condo here. How do I get her to
understand that this is not a lifetime relationship, and when I go back to
work I will want her to leave the condo? I have four weeks left, Hillary, so
a quick fix will be appreciated.
Sand Box Sam
Dear Sand Box Sam,
I think you have just found out that you can’t have your cake and eat it
too! The way around this problem is to bring it out into view and it will
cease to be such a worry for you. Since Hillary doesn’t know how good your
Thai is, it may be better for you to have an interpreter, as it is important
the young lady understands the situation. And understands it right now, not
two days before you leave. She has been taking care of you, so now you must
take a little care of her and her feelings. Now is the time to spell it all
out, my Petal. Your problem is one that Francis (see above) will also have
to face if he continues in his current way of life.
Learn to Live to Learn: with Andrew Watson
The need for good practice
The need for good practice, I would argue, is equally applicable
to any kind of organisation. The first rule of managing any
organisation, as Drucker (1955) acknowledges, is to make a
profit. However, I would argue that in education, defining the
terms of ‘profit’, i.e., “in what forms does our profit come and
what do we do with it?”, illustrates the inherent differences
between factory and school. Call it ‘the human factor’ if you
will, which in education, necessitates examining Drucker’s
mantra, “Management must always, in every decision and action,
put economic performance first,” in a different light.
Acknowledging both the reality and subtleties of these issues
is, I submit, a necessary condition for leadership of
international schools in the twenty first century. What is
required is a kind of new, post-modern ‘enlightenment’,
perfectly consistent with political, social, economic but most
of all economic, global reality.
The views of Tsolidis (2002) are thus reminiscent of
‘pre-enlightenment’ thinking where ‘business’ and ‘education’
are viewed as ‘incompatible’ on principles which are rarely
articulated or examined in depth. In the sometimes narrow and
parochial and often highly politicised confines of education, my
perception has been that international education, whilst more
ready and more free to consider ‘different ways of doing things’
has nonetheless lagged behind other kinds of international
organisations in embracing evolutionary change. In many ways, it
appears that the world of international education remains an
ill-defined yet essentially conservative bastion, which whilst a
shame, is nonetheless perhaps understandable. It is after all, a
relatively new and brave world.
On the other hand, why on earth shouldn’t education change its
paradigm? After all, as Wragg (1997) pointed out, education must
incorporate a vision of the future. In terms of curriculum
delivery, I would ask of a school, “How have you married modern
technology to your curriculum delivery?” I’d ask, “Where and how
do you acknowledge film, television and journalism as access
points for teaching and learning?” And I’d ask, “Show me where
and how you demonstrate your shared understanding of what it
means to be an international school in today’s world.” Big
questions, perhaps, but I would argue, increasingly necessary
ones.
In many respects, in western industrialized countries in
particular, it seems that schooling has remained fairly intact
over the last century (Betts, 2001). Yet as the great Stephen
Codrington of Li Po Chun United World College (2004) points out,
“Learning environments, like life itself, are complex,
non-linear and open-ended.” If schools don’t evolve, they will
become extinct. But I would go further and suggest that pioneers
(as many international schools effectively are) are in the
position to design, engineer and facilitate real and dramatic
change. They have nothing to fear, but fear itself.
My perspective that education is the last great hope for
‘civilisation’ is tempered by acknowledgement of the complex
world that we have built up around us and the role that
‘education’ has played in creating an environment in which our
children are sentenced to twenty years or more in schools, just
so that they can learn how to survive in it. The human
incubation period is getting longer, not shorter. Ours is an
environment to which the human race has steadfastly refused to
adapt; instead we have adapted our environment to suit ourselves
(Jamie Uys, 1980). We have to run just to keep still. The job of
leading an international school is something that requires such
a rare combination of competences and characteristics,
temperament and skill, experiences and education, that often,
implementing something as idealistic as the IBO Mission
statement has seemed a hopeless cause. The IBO Mission statement
is a statement of great vision, but as (Collins, 2001) points
out, “Great vision without great people is irrelevant”. At the
epicentre of my experience of international schools has stood
(or sat) the leader; sublime or ridiculous, they have been
pivotal figures.
Leadership is a delicate balance between promoting initiative
and empowerment on one hand whilst channelling energy in the
same direction and maintaining a common focus, on the other. The
variables involved in this equation are considerable; the
quality and orientation of teaching staff are two of many
critical components in the successful implementation of the
mission statement. The core business of a school will always be
teaching and learning and the delivery of the curriculum in the
classroom is the ‘point of contact’ between mission and student;
teachers the transmitters of what we might hope, is their
passion.
So what kind of teacher does it take to convey the essence of a
mission statement such as the IBO’s, which is an admittedly
difficult piece of text to deal with? Gone are the days where
you want submissive teachers - teaching, like writing (Bertrand
Russell), should be an essentially subversive activity. The
whole path towards a ‘better world’ seems to require that
schools move from what Collins calls ‘good to great’ which means
that there’s no longer any place for what he calls “Plastic
people,” who have been trained (or who have learned) to quietly
submit to the dictates of a domineering, or bullying CEO.
In recognising the elevated ambitions of the IBO mission
statement, it is essential to consider whether its targets are
achievable in any coherent, measurable way. Acknowledging my own
left/liberal bias, I wonder, “Are their laudable objectives
being achieved?” For as Jenkins (1998) points out, perhaps
understating the problem, “There remain holes through which the
student may fall”.
The demands and requests made by the IB diploma in particular,
require a redefinition of self and place in the world. To many
students, parents and teachers, it is a revolutionary approach
to shaping students’ knowledge, attitudes, values, and action,
for which some are not ready and many are unprepared. In this
sense, the IB programmes can be seen as a dangerous experiment.
The diploma is a gruelling, unforgiving journey and casualties
of its academic demands litter the paths which join
internationals schools. Too often, I have witnessed schools only
too willing to take a student in for their fees, but less
willing to provide what the fee-payer believes that he or she is
paying them for. It’s all very well taking on a ‘needy’ student,
but it’s not alright to do nothing for them on the grounds that
it might interfere with someone’s leisure schedule. This
regrettable reality of ‘no-man’s land’ also marks the biting
battle ground between idealism and pragmatism.
Next week: Altruism, Nationalism and Globalism
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