Family Money: Understanding Risk
By Leslie
Wright,
Managing director of Westminster Portfolio Services (Thailand) Ltd.
All investments carry risk, and it is important to
understand and accept this. Even putting cash in a deposit account carries
two risks: one that the currency doesn’t devalue; and another that the
bank itself does not collapse.
The economic crash in Argentina, followed by the
consequent run on bank deposits and the devaluation of the peso, is a
striking example of just how fragile a financial system can be - in case
you’ve forgotten what happened in Asia in 1997, starting with the
currency meltdown in Thailand.
Then there’s Japan. On February 9th 2002, the value
of Japan’s main stock market index, the Nikkei 225, dipped below the
main US stock market, the Dow Jones, for the first time in 45 years. Back
in 1989, at the height of Japan’s popularity with the world’s
investment industry, the market capitalisation of Japanese stocks
accounted for 45% of the world total - more than the US and Europe
combined. Then, the Nikkei 225 was 15 times higher than the Dow Jones
Index.
Continued problems and an inability to engage
fundamental reform have blighted Japan with a weak economy for the past
decade. Now Japan accounts for less than 20% of world stock market
capitalisation, corporate bankruptcies abound, unemployment has breached
5%, and thousands of its banks and companies are struggling under bad
loans.
Different things to
different folk
The word ‘risk’ can in fact mean two very different
things: either historical volatility (so investments such as cash and
bonds are the least risky); or a measurement of long-term performance (in
which case equities, which historically outperform bonds and cash, could
also be defined as the least risky).
For most people, the former definition is more
pertinent. Fund volatility, as measured by Standard & Poor’s, for
instance, measures the standard deviation of a fund’s monthly total
returns over the most recent 36-month period. The higher the figure the
more volatile that fund’s monthly performance has been. While this is a
useful guide to how volatile a particular fund sector has behaved in the
past, it doesn’t inform about the underlying risk of a sector or give
any indications of any possible future problems.
One famous example of how things can come seriously
unstuck if your viewing window is skewed is that of Victor Niederhoffer, a
hedge fund operator who believed that markets would never fall by more
than 5% in a single day. He had checked his recent history and found this
was true in the five-year period between 1993 and 1997, with the largest
single day fall being 3.1%. Then October 27th 1997 occurred, the market
fell 7% and he was wiped out. Had he remembered the events of 1987 and
realised it was only 8 days to the 10th anniversary of a one-day loss in
the market of 20.4% he might have saved himself. Such is risk.
Risk, whether intuitive or mathematical, requires human
input to determine its value. The utility placed on buying a share, a
bond, a mutual fund or unit trust - or even a lottery ticket, will be
different from person to person and from day to day, which will mean the
risk they are prepared to take will have different values. Consequently,
the idea of a single figure encapsulating risk is nonsense. Risk depends
upon what aspect of it you are trying to measure and the value each
individual places on each aspect of risk.
General rules
While ‘risk’ as a benchmark is hard to quantify,
some general rules can be deciphered. Perhaps the best known is that
equities outperform bonds over the long term, despite frequent short-term
volatility.
A new study of equity returns in 16 industrialised
countries since 1900, by the London Business School with Dutch bank ABN
Amro, has confirmed this. Looking back over this period, equities have in
all countries, from Denmark to Germany to Australia, been the best
performing asset class, with real returns around 4% to 6% per year.
In each case, the report found that returns from
equities are greater than bonds. For instance, ฃ1 invested in UK
equities in 1900 would today be worth ฃ14,080 or ฃ252 after
adjusting for inflation. ฃ1 invested in UK bonds would today be
worth ฃ205 or under ฃ4 after adjusting for inflation.
While concluding that equities have generally been a
better bet, the research also concludes that equity investment is still
risky, nonetheless. Since 1900, the volatility of the UK and US stock
markets has been high - an annual risk (standard deviation) of some 20% -
with nearly all other equity markets even more risky than the UK and US.
Although two consecutive years of negative stock market
returns are not uncommon, such as over 2000 and 2001, the scale of the
recent decline is historically high. The 18-month bear market that began
in March 2000 produced negative returns of 34% in the US, 29% in the UK
and 39% (in US dollars) worldwide. The only post-war period with lower
returns was the bear market from 1973 to 1974, when US equities fell by
half and UK equities by two-thirds. Indeed, between 2000 and 2001, bonds
were the best performing asset in every major world market except Ireland,
where equities outperformed, and the UK, where cash beat bonds.
Diversity is the spice
Many commentators are predicting a more muted equity
environment over the coming years, especially given the burnt fingers from
the technology bust and rampant “Enronitis” currently spreading
throughout the corporate and investment world. Institutional investors for
one have taken note, with a recent marked trend of lowering equities’
allocations to pension funds.
The London Business School/ABN Amro report argues that
to counter potential risk and volatility, investors - whether
institutional or private - should diversify their portfolios. I have been
singing that song for many years. Diversifying across different sectors,
asset classes and investments often reduces the volatility without
compromising on performance.
But what constitutes an appropriate portfolio for one
potential investor may be inappropriate for another. What is regarded as
high risk for one person may be low risk for another - and that risk has
to be interpreted individually and for each occasion.
Snap Shot: Is Harry turning into Hillary?
by Harry Flashman
I received the following two queries this past couple
of weeks, and since they have a general interest I have decided to answer
them via the column.
Dear Mr. Flashman,
I cannot believe that I am writing a letter (email) to
someone who does not exist! I tried to phone you about 10 minutes ago to
be told by your switchboard operator that there is no-one there by that
name. May I suggest that you introduce yourself to her and let her know
your “ghost-writers” name! Believing in spirits as she probably does,
I am sure that she will have no problem in believing in a
“ghost-writer.” I decided to try to get information as a result of
your photography article on Page 10 of the Pattaya Mail of 22-28
March.
However, to get to the point of my question. I have a
valued photograph which, unfortunately, took on rainwater due to some very
successful roofing structures! This photograph is now solidly stuck to the
glass and in fact in one or two places has “shed” a bit of the
picture/photograph which would have to be “touched up”. Two questions,
please:
1) Is there a shop/studio in Pattaya that can
successfully remove the picture from the glass and then successfully
touch-up the photograph?
2) If not, can the photo be “re-photographed” with
the necessary touch-up?
I can be contacted via the next Pattaya Mail.
Thanking you,
Bob
Dear Bob,
Sorry the switchboard gave you some misinformation,
but if you have lived for a while in the mystic East you will know that to
be told that there is no-one there by that name just means the person was
not in when you called. Now, regarding your problem - if you try and soak
the photograph off you will probably do more damage (if it was a glazed
B&W print you “may” be able to get it off, but do not try that
yet). Take the print with its glass to a reasonably competent
photo-processor and ask them to make a copy of the print, through the
glass and retouch as necessary. After you have the copy, then try soaking
the print away from the glass. I use the Kodak place just past the Golden
Beach Hotel on Second Road. They are very helpful people and they will try
their best for you.
Harry
Dear Harry Flashman,
I always read your Snap Shot column in the “Mail”,
and find a lot of useful information there. Thank you. I loved the article
in Vol. X No 13 about the new Nikon SLR and about the ‘pin-sharp’
pictures it takes. But hey, obviously the photo of the camera was not
taken with a Nikon. What happened? Very blurred! It looks like some of the
shots I take. By the way, is there anyone in the Pattaya area that can
take a look at some of my photos and advise on what I’m doing wrong? I
use SLR cameras (not Nikon), and I have been very dissatisfied with my
photos lately. Is it the camera, the lenses, or the ‘nut’ that holds
the camera?
Kind regards,
Gunnar
Dear Gunnar,
Thank you for your letter too. I have to admit that
the FM3A pic was not too good by the time it ended up in newsprint. It was
actually downloaded from Nikon’s own web-site, so I will not take too
much of the blame. I agree, though, shots taken with my old Nikons are
better than that - but pictures from the web can be scanned at very low
resolution and downloading is often disappointing.
As regards your own shots, if you would like to
leave some at the Pattaya Mail office, clearly marked “For Harry
Flashman, c/o Khun Poo” I will happily look at them and critique
(constructively) where necessary. A few details will assist, such as any
technical data (aperture/shutter speed) and model of camera. Leave them
with me for a couple of weeks before reclaiming from the Pattaya Mail
office.
Modern Medicine: Dangerous Liaisons!
by Dr Iain Corness, Consultant
Well, that got your interest up, didn’t it? There are
(have been) plenty of dangerous liaisons in the world, and we’ve
probably all had one (or two)? However, the liaisons I want to discuss
today are the interactions between various drugs and how to avoid a fairly
explosive situation in the way some drugs can interact with you.
What is the commonest drug taken by human beings in the
western world? Hands up all of you who said alcohol. Yes, our old friend
ethanol, AKA booze, is really a drug. It is a depressant, it dilates
arteries and does all kinds of neat things to the body (and the brain).
One of the big problems though, is that alcohol can heighten the effects
of other drugs. In other words, it is not a simple 1+1 additive effect -
the combination multiplies the effects of both the alcohol and the other
drug too. For example, the anti-anxiety drug Valium (which I used to call
the “Health Food of the Nation” in my younger and more cynical days)
plus alcohol make a very nasty cocktail. This combination produces
“space” travel without having to go to Cape Canaveral. A most
dangerous way to be bombed out of your brain.
Simple cough medicines are another group of drugs that
do not combine well with alcohol. A couple of beers and a shot of
something for your cough can combine to produce a lethal combination.
Lethal in the fact that the interaction can make you fall asleep at the
wheel.
Let’s imagine that you have now found out that you
have high blood pressure and have gone on a type of medication called Beta
Blockers. They do work well at reducing blood pressure. They also stop
trembling hands, and many people take them for this - even concert
pianists. There are some drawbacks, though. One it can exacerbate asthma,
and two, it can make Willy the Wonder Wand not work like it used to. A
dangerous way to draw a halt to dangerous liaisons!
Some of you will be on medication to reduce your blood
sugar, a condition we sometimes called NIDDM (Non Insulin Dependent
Diabetes Mellitus). You may also get indigestion. There is a particularly
nasty interaction between certain sugar reducers and some antacids, which
can make you go into a hypoglycaemic coma. Again, not the best way to
spend a Saturday afternoon!
Now here’s one for all the people who have had a
stroke, or a heart attack or a deep vein thrombosis and have been put on a
blood thinner, such as warfarin (also known as “rat poison”). Got a
headache today? Taken a common old aspirin for it? You have just set the
scene for a haemorrhage, as the effects of these two are again multiplied.
So just what is the message I am putting across this
week? Well, it is simple. Whilst it is great that you can just wander into
a pharmacy and buy all the cheap drugs you want and self-medicate with
whatever you think you need, there can be a downside to all this. And it
can be a big downside. Letting your doctor prescribe is much safer than
doing it yourself. After all, the doctor has been trained to look for the
dangerous liaisons!
Women’s World: What a horrible thought hair loss
by Lesley Warner
We tend to assume that this is a ‘male thing’ but
it’s not. Where it seems acceptable in a man I’m quite sure that it
will never be accepted for a women to be bald!
In America alone it is estimated that over 25 million
women suffer the effects of female hair loss and the emotional distress it
causes.
Normal hair shedding is approximately 100 hairs per
day. (I wonder how they know? Can you imagine trying to count them?) A
lower number of hairs lost would apply to those whose hair is already
thin. It’s considered not normal when the daily hair loss exceeds 100
hairs. In female pattern hair loss, when the affected hair is shed, the
root grows one in its place that is shorter. Eventually it becomes
invisible “peach fuzz”. Genetically, hair loss can come from either
parent’s side of the family.
Men have a much higher level of the androgen
testosterone. This is the hormone that is responsible for male sexual
characteristics and when the body converts it to DHT, it becomes the main
culprit in causing baldness. Fortunately, for once, the much lower levels
of testosterone in women spare them from the extensive hair loss that is
often seen in men.
The most common type of hair loss seen in women is
androgenetic alopecia, also known as female pattern alopecia and may begin
as early as puberty. Alopecia means baldness but it does not have to be
complete hair loss. Unlike men, women rarely become “bald” in the true
sense, but many experience significant overall thinning and a reduction in
hair shaft diameter, particularly around the forehead and crown of the
scalp as they age. In these cases if there are signs of a hormone
imbalance, such as excess facial or body hair, a hormone evaluation should
be done. Hormonal changes are a common cause of female hair loss.
Apparently a pattern for hair loss can also begin at
around the age 40 or with the onset of menopause. What did we do to
deserve menstruation and all that goes with it from the beginning to the
end? I can’t believe it’s all down to eating an apple...
Before menopause, various forms of estrogen block the
steroid hormone responsible for hair loss (testosterone) resulting in low
levels of DHT (dihydrotestosterone) being produced in the skin and
follicle region. Once women enter menopause, their levels of estrogen
decline and more testosterone is then bio-available to be converted to DHT
(the known cause of non-traumatic hair loss) in the root bulb and stem
cell regions. This results in a shorter hair growth cycle, finer hair and
eventually, general effluvium or shedding. As women enter their 80s and
90s, the follicle itself can shrink and stop producing hair completely. By
then will I care?
There can also be more localized hair loss that occurs
around the hairline after face-lift surgery. Also, hair loss occurs with
constant tugging on the hair, so be careful when you drag your
daughter’s hair back into that ponytail all her school life. Both of
these conditions can be treated with hair transplantation.
Fortunately, according to research survey’s the most
common causes of hair loss in women are not related to inherited genes but
to temporary metabolic problems associated with pregnancy, unusual stress,
chemotherapy, crash diets/anorexia, thyroid hormone deficiency, major
surgery, severe infection or high fever. Certain drugs can also take their
toll on once lush and healthy tresses. However, these conditions are
usually temporary and once the “trauma” is over, the hair stops
falling out and generally grows back as good as new.
There are various creams and other concoctions on the
market that promise miracle regeneration of hair growth but I would be
reluctant to recommend any. There are various surgical procedures now
available for replanting hair; this suits some people and not others.
Professional counseling might be of help. Perms, dyes and other cosmetic
options can be used to give a fuller appearance to hair. Contrary to
popular belief, shampooing does not increase hair loss. A consultation
with a skilled specialist to discuss your options is advised. There are
also some great wigs on offer these days.
Heart to Heart with Hillary
Dear Hillary,
In your reply to Enquirer you posed the question as to
your location when drafting replies. I’ve heard that you have gone back
to Australia and you write the column from there. True or false?
Kevin
Dear Kevin,
Oh Heaven, Kevin! I hope there was no financial
stake here. Hillary is not in Australia, my Petal, but if you are offering
to take me there, all expenses and as much champagne as I can drink, I
could be tempted! They tell me the Australians make a reasonable champagne
(or Methode Champenoise, as my friend Ranjith from the Royal Cliff Wine
Club tells me). No, let me assure you that Hillary is very much alive and
living permanently in Pattaya. Once a week I take my string shopping bag
and call into the Pattaya Mail offices to check my pigeonhole and
have a quick look in the fridge for champagne and chocolates, and then
take all your little morsels home. Every Saturday evening I do not go
outside my little condo since the Pattaya streets are now an endless
clotted mass of motor cars thanks to the Amazing (“Wisdom”) Fair, so I
use this time to read your letters and reply to them. All done right here
in Pattaya.
Dear Hillary,
My girlfriend is wonderful in every way, other than the
fact that she lives at home with her family. We have been seeing each
other for almost a year and I am tired of living on my own, as I have been
for the past year. My girlfriend and I agree on every point, other than
the fact that she says she cannot stay with me as her family would not
allow it. Is there something different with Thai women? After this length
of time any of my UK girls would have moved in lock, stock and barrel.
Other friends of mine have had no end of girls staying with them, though I
have to say that these were girls from the bars. My girlfriend is not one
of those girls. How do you get a Thai girl who lives at home with her
family to move in with you? Any tips are gratefully received.
Bill
Dear Bill,
You have fallen into the trap of thinking that all
girls in Pattaya are easy. They are not, as you are in the process of
finding out. There is much to be done before you are going to prise your
lady friend away from the family. There is a bill to be paid, Bill. Even
if your lady has told her family that she would like to change her address
and take up residence with you and your sweaty socks, then there will be
prior approval of you required, plus approval of your financial status
which will be judged as being appropriate when a large wedge of it leaves
your home and moves in to her family home. Dowry is important, Petal. If
you haven’t even reached that stage of negotiation, then you are still
several months away from your goal of co-habitation. If it were easy then
there would be no need for bars in Pattaya, would there? It is time for
you to broach the subject with the lady and then start haggling from
there. Bargaining is part of life in this country - in all spheres,
including the affairs of the heart. Of course, if all else fails, you
could always try moving in with her!
Sawasdee kha, Khun Hillary,
I’m a Thai lady 24 years lived in Pattaya. I
wondering that is there any farang who like a girl not work in bar? Thank
you na kha.
Aor
Dear Aor,
I am sure there are many, many farangs who are
looking for girls who do not work in bars. Particularly judging by the
agonized letters I get from the farangs who have picked up their life’s
partner from the “Till the Money Runs Out a-Go-Go”. However, the hard
part is that to meet the farangs you are looking for, you generally have
to be in a bar to do it, as that is where the local farangs meet and
socialize. What Hillary suggests is that you watch the Pattaya Mail
for concerts and special nights at the various Pattaya ex-pat hang-outs
like Shenanigans, Henry J Beans, Moon River Pub and the like and go along.
Enjoy the music and talk to any farang who is also enjoying the music and
who comes up and sits next to you. Give him a card with your name and
phone number at the end of the night if you like him and go from there.
Best of luck.
Dear Hillary,
As I am getting older (I am now 64) I have noticed a
certain problem happening in the behind the bedroom door department. My
friends say I should try taking some vitamin pills, but I don’t know
which ones I should get. Is Vitamin C good for this? Or is Vitamin B
better? Where do you get them from too? Thank you in advance.
Rodger
Dear Rodger,
Here’s the answer to make you into a “jolly
Rodger” - the only vitamin you need is Vitamin “V” but you do not
buy it in the health shops. You should go and get a check-up at the
hospital and discuss the bedroom problems with your doctor. The magic blue
“V” tablet is available legally in Pattaya on prescription.
Grapevine
Clear that bill
Mobile phone users now have only fifteen days,
instead of thirty five, to clear overdue bills before they are
disconnected. The move follows a rush of cases in which cellphone
companies were cheated by subscribers abandoning or selling their
phones without clearing overdue bills. There’s a lot to be said
for purchasing a pre-paid SIM card so that you simply can’t run up
bad debts.
Tasty Sundays
Le Cafe Royale on Pattayaland Soi Three has a
weekly Sunday evening buffet. All you can eat for 350 baht. Menus
change, but when GEOC (Grapevine Eating Out Collective) paid a
visit, there was turkey and vegetable soup, several salads including
Waldorf, roast beef, pork ribs, Irish stew and assorted vegetables.
Very well worth a visit from 20.00 hours onwards.
Saturday chaos
Let’s sincerely hope that the closure of Beach
Road to traffic on Saturday afternoons and evenings will soon peter
out. It’s just chaos for no apparent purpose. The resulting
traffic jams on other roads simply increase pollution and bad
tempers, whilst making access to some central hotels and stores well
nigh impossible. But, for as long as the restrictions survive,
don’t even think about using Second Road or Pattaya Klang after
16.00 hours.
The show must go
on
A professional girl at a questionable night spot
in Soi Yamoto is in serious dispute with her boss after deciding to
quit following an argument about pay. The girl is the anchor woman
in a three person act which, although not indecent, does suggest
minority interests. The girl refuses to hand over her bag of props,
but the boss says they are necessary if the show is to continue in
its present form. The bag is thought to contain a Wellington boot, a
black truncheon and an unbreakable egg. It is not altogether clear
why the egg is important.
The best in town
In our opinion, the best mince and mash in town
is at Palmer’s Bar in Pattayaland Soi Two... For our money, the
best value cabaret is Simon out there on the Beach Road. They
actually look as if they’re enjoying it... The cheapest hotel in
Pattaya is actually in Soi Nine. It’s free as a matter of fact,
but the cells tend to get overcrowded.
|
Legal Eagle
If you find yourself paying money to, say, a motorbike
rental company following an accident, always make sure you hand over any
cash in the presence of the police and that you get a police report
clarifying that this is the end of the matter. If the complainant also has
your passport, make sure this is given back to you at the same time. If
there is the slightest hint of ambiguity in any civil settlement you
decide to make, bet your bottom dollar you will continue to be harassed.
Making sense of it
Corduroy pillows are making headlines.
Is a book on voyeurism a peeping tome?
Banning the bra was a big flop.
Sea captains don’t like crew cuts.
Does the name Pavlov ring a bell?
A diet is the triumph of mind over platter.
A gossip is someone with a great sense of rumor.
Without geometry, life is pointless.
Reading whilst sunbathing makes you well red.
Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.
Curtain call
The current Grapevine editor, Barry
Kenyon, is retiring at his own request as a regular columnist with this
issue. He has written this weekly column since 1997 but feels it’s time
for a rest.
|
Antiques, are they genuine? Inlaid carvings
by Apichart Panyadee
So far we have only looked at okimono carved from
single pieces of ivory. There was, however, a long established tradition
of netsuke with small details such as the eyes inlaid in a different
material; tortoiseshell for example.
Over the years, through degradation of the glue or a
knock, an eye may have been lost, so both should be checked to see that
they have the same amount of wear and patina. The smart restorer replaces
both pupils and if this is done well there is unlikely to be any great
loss of value.
This
wood replica of a rabbit was copied from an illustration in the Raymond
Bushell catalogue. The copyist has engraved the details crudely and the
patina has been imitated with a stain of inferior quality.
Later netsuke, figures and works of art could have
considerable amounts of inlay in mother-of-pearl, amber, coconut,
tortoiseshell and stained ivory. Again, these may have been lost over time
and replaced. A careful comparison with the color and tone of remaining
inlay may reveal discrepancies. Inlays into lacquer grounds are
particularly difficult to replace accurately and usually show a gap
between the ground and the inset. This is because when they were first
made, the ground was applied up to already fixed inlays. The resetting, as
opposed to replacement, of lost pieces does not detract if done properly.
Sectional figures
Towards the end of the 19th century, as the market for
ivories exported to the West increased, sectional figures were produced
from separate pieces. Many of these were off-cuts sold by the markers of
large carvings. These figures often mixed walrus and bone and there are
two distinct grades of them.
The first is of exceptionally finely carved groups
which had to be constructed from several pieces as no single tusk was
large enough to accommodate them. What should be watched for here is the
replacement of a lost part by one newly carved. The most obviously
delicate sections such as pipes, tools, arrows, small boxes, etc. should
be examined for changes in color or texture of the ivory. This is a
downgrading of quality and may also entail a slight change in scale. A
substitution of a lost piece by something appropriate from a group too
damaged to be of any use but of comparable quality will not affect the
value.
Many of these sectional groups were signed on a small
red lacquer panel let into the base, and the belief seems to have arisen
that a lacquer reserve indicates quality. However, both the best and the
junk can have this feature, so the collector must look for the care with
which the signature has been engraved. Good advice is to beware of the
thin, spidery hand. New lacquer signatures have also been noted on
originally unsigned pieces.
The Tokyo School carvings produced from the end of the
19th century up until the First World War usually came from a single large
tusk, and they have risen in value dramatically over the decades. The
major carvers, such as Ishikawsa Komei and Yoshida Homei are now becoming
recognized. There is no likelihood of reproductions of their work ever
being made as their skills are no longer around to produce them. But
carvings bearing Ishikawa’s name (though too poorly done to be by his
hand) were produced. These are on the market and have deceived people who
paid too much attention to the signature and not enough to the actual
quality of the piece.
Social Commentary by Khai Khem
The Fine Line
Apparently there are some objections to the new
initiative of Pattaya’s Thai Wisdom Fair because of the chaos it has
provoked with parking and traffic, plus the inconvenience it causes
residents who want to patronize business in close proximity to Beach Road.
Since we have been informed that the Fair will continue in spite of the
nuisance it’s causing it looks like we’ll have to put up with it for
awhile. It may or may not die a natural death, but at the moment it serves
a purpose.
The One Tambon One Product campaign is being promoted
to give Thais a chance to earn a living. Personally I think this whole
idea can eventually be removed to another area as a permanent bazaar and
the participants will not suffer. Pattaya still has a lot of important
tourist activities on the calendar for the next couple of months. The
Songkran Festival is nearly upon us and the US military will arrive for
Cobra Gold in May. To abort the Thai Wisdom Fair now would be premature.
We’ve been told by the authorities that when
construction begins on Beach Road again the Fair will be affected. Of
course the aggravation of the construction will replace the inconvenience
of the Fair, but I suppose since Pattaya is not a ‘finished product’
the city will always be in a state of flux. The monsoon season would have
put the Fair out of business for awhile anyway, so as Buddhism tells us,
nothing in the universe is permanent.
This is an honest question: Why did the organizers of
the Fair name it the Thai Wisdom Fair? What has wisdom got to do with
this? Was it a botch in English translation or is it a reference to how
very clever our city leaders are in their regard for Fun City? Perhaps it
refers to the cleverness of the products made in the Tambons. Whatever the
reason, like most things which have been introduced to Pattaya, it will
mutate into something uncontrollable and eventually be replaced by another
bright idea for that particular location and the Fair may re-appear
somewhere down a side road or an empty field.
I particularly liked the announcement that this whole
idea is not costing the city more money with an extra budget allocation. I
wonder how that can be. All those extra police and officials who monitor
the area and reroute traffic may putting in their extra man hours for
free. Surely the Sunday morning clean-up must involve more work. Civic
pride may be a motivation in some places, but why does one get the
impression that law-enforcement in Thailand is more of an entrepreneurial
endeavor than a profession? Of course we are in the middle of a social
order crackdown, so perhaps things are really going to change. If so,
Bravo!
If the Thai Wisdom Fair becomes a permanent feature on
Beach Road and the Bali High Pier is finished, there are some eventual
scenarios I can see coming to pass. With the exception of some of the
high-end investment which has been made in this area, the ‘tenderloin’
of the city is still pretty shabby. Some of the ramshackle egg-crate
architecture of the Bauhaus School of socialist design known as the
Southeast Asian shop-house is sitting on some very expensive real estate
right now. Eventually the sleazy businesses and the sector of population -
both Thai and foreign - which inhabits and patronizes this area will be
priced out of the market. A combination of the MOI’s new social order
campaign and consistent enforcement of regulations now in existence could
uproot the core of what has made Pattaya famous around the world. Yes, I
know - we can split hairs about fame or infamy but whichever; it has put
us on the map.
We are walking a delicate line between destroying the
soul of the city (and reconstructing a new one) and preserving some of the
laid-back fun and open-mindedness which has served the growth of this
sea-side resort town well through the years. If we kill off everything
about Pattaya which has made it so notorious, we may have a more livable
city for the future, but we will lose something which has made us unique.
I happened to be living in Singapore when it was being
torn down and rebuilt into a city so antiseptic that a decade later the
politicos appealed to business leaders to resurrect the infamous Bugis
Street. And so it was done. The result was similar to a body exhumed from
the grave. And just as popular.
Roll over Rover: Choosing and using gates
by C. Schloemer
Some people keep their dogs outside, day and night and
in all weather. House dogs usually have the run of the home. Gates are
optional, but if you have a puppy or a young dog, you will probably find
them useful. They are great to close off a play area or confine your dog
if you are leaving the house. A crate is another option.
Be sure to buy gates made of quality wood, metal, or
non-toxic vinyl mesh and ones that are pressurized to fit your doorways.
If you have breeds known for their athletic ability, look for extra tall
versions.
When considering where to confine your dog, keep some
things in mind. Choose an area with linoleum or tiled floors in case of
mishaps or accidents so the area is easily cleaned. Keep the area clear of
loose objects that might be tempting to chew on or swallow. Check
electrical cords and keep them out of reach. If they are on the ground
level, tape them to the wall securely.
Left alone, dogs are mischievous. Gates can also
isolate dogs from off-limit areas and are handy for blocking dangerous
stairways, ledges, porches or balconies.
If you leave your dog
confined when you are home does he go nuts?
Your dog is suffering from isolation anxiety. A social
creature, he doesn’t understand why he is trapped away from you. Of
course an untrained dog let free can be a nuisance but we will be
discussing how to remedy this situation to the satisfaction of both dog
and owner in a later column.
Dogs also go nuts when they are confined when company
arrives. Here too, they are frustrated at being left out. Behind gates,
most dogs get very excited. They jump, bark and get over stimulated.
Unfortunately, this behavior usually brings someone to soothe them which
will reinforce their behavior with attention. Another vicious cycle is
created.
About beds
Not all dogs like beds. Some do, some don’t. Your dog
will tell you. It will also let you know what kind of stuffing it prefers.
Some are partial to beads. For others, only pseudo-lambskin or polyester
fluff will do. If your dog likes one type, stick to it. If you need one
bed for upstairs and one for downstairs, get identical beds. It may bore
you but dogs are habitual creatures and their learning is motivated by
consistency.
Chew toys and bones
If your dog is having difficulty differentiating his
toys from other household objects, the consistency rule applies here. Take
a good look at how many toys are in his basket. They all may have been
special presents, but too many are confusing. Too large a selection gives
the dog the illusion that everything on the ground is a toy. To make your
expectations more clear, try to choose one or two favorites and buy
identical replicas to disperse around the house. If you have a die-hard
chewer, be sure to select a chew bone that will satisfy his gumming needs.
Avoid soft toys that might feel like a sofa cushion or a fringed Oriental
carpet.
A Slice of Thai History: The Growth of Bangkok
Part One - A makeshift capital becomes the ‘Venice of the East’ 1782-1860
by
Duncan Stearn
According to the Guinness Book of Records, the official
name of the city of Bangkok is, ‘The Great City of Angels, the Supreme
Repository of Divine Jewels, the Great Unconquerable Land, the Grand and
Illustrious Realm, the Royal and Delightful Capital City, Home of the Nine
Noble Gems, the Highest Royal Dwelling and Grand Palace, the Divine
Shelter and Dwelling Place of the Reincarnated Spirits’.
Thankfully, you are not required to write this as part
of the address if you happen to be sending or receiving mail.
Bangkok was established as the royal capital of
Thailand in 1782, 15 years after the Burmese had razed the former capital
Ayutthaya, and at the same time as the beginning of the present royal
dynasty.
What started as a royal fortified town grew, via
overseas trade, into a major commercial port, attracting large numbers of
migrants, both from the countryside of Thailand and the Asian region,
particularly southern China, before finishing as the great sprawling urban
industrial metropolis we see today.
Over the past 200-plus years, Bangkok has gone from
being a city based almost totally on maritime transport (the Chao Phraya
River and a network of canals) to a predominantly land-based industrial
and manufacturing centre as the canals were filled in and roads
constructed in there stead.
Until the 1820s, foreign trade was mainly conducted
with China, exports being linked to the tribute taxes exacted by the
government from the Thai provinces and vassal states.
This trade led to substantial migration of Chinese
workers to Thailand, the vast majority choosing to settle in the
burgeoning port of Bangkok.
By 1820, Bangkok was already larger, in terms of
population, than any other city in Thailand, while by the 1850s its
population had grown to around 100,000 inhabitants.
Revenue from foreign trade doubled in the years between
1795 and 1837. Between 1830 and 1850, trade between Bangkok and the
British colony of Singapore doubled, while trade from Singapore to Bangkok
increased around 33 percent in the same time.
Bangkok’s growth was particularly noticeable during
the reign of King Rama III (1824-1851), with no less than 62 kilometres of
canals being dug and 83 temples constructed. Compare this with the mere
seven kilometres of canals dug during the reign of King Rama I (1782-1809)
and the nine kilometres under King Rama II (1809-1824). This massive
increase in canal transport led to European visitors declaring Bangkok to
be the ‘Venice of the East’, a title the city was to hold until the
massive expansion of the 1960s and 1970s made it anachronistic.
The signing of the Bowring Treaty in 1855 led to the
acceleration of the growth of the Bangkok city environs. Perhaps one of
the reasons for this was that the treaty encouraged Western businesses to
set up shop in Bangkok, leading to an influx of foreigners and the
expansion of the private sector of the economy.
This in turn led to a demand for land, for the
construction of both housing and businesses and, of course, led to more
labour coming into the city from the provinces searching for work.
Although the numbers of Caucasian residents in the
mid-nineteenth century was relatively small, their influence was
significant. When European diplomats complained to the Thai government
about the difficulties of getting around the small city, King Mongkut,
Rama IV, ordered the laying down of the very first land thoroughfare in
the city. Constructed in the 1860s, Chareonkrung or ‘New’ Road
attracted the majority of the good hotels, trading houses and banks as it
developed into the diplomatic and commercial centre of Bangkok, remaining
the city’s pre-eminent land artery for almost a century.
The Message In The Moon: Sun in Leo-Moon in Virgo
by Anchalee Kaewmanee
The Moralist
Discriminating, analytical, and fastidious, the outward
show of leadership and aggression masks an inner nature that is cautious
and somewhat reticent. Rather than gaining the power and prestige that
people born into this combination crave through active leadership, they
will seek influence through mental endeavors. Forsaking the sword, they
most likely will reach for the pen.
This combo is somewhat paradoxical. The Leo Sun wants
status, recognition and authority. However, the Virgo Moon requires the
stability and security of a less risky role. Inhibition often keeps these
individuals from taking on the position of leadership that they inwardly
feel they deserve. This is rather unfortunate in some cases because they
are actually very capable individuals with great organizational skills
which would serve them well in situations which require guiding others.
Leos are natural leaders but Virgo will often opt to pull the strings
behind the scenes and forego the limelight.
In addition, the desire for attention and admiration
will also compete with a need to be of service to others. But for the most
part, both sides of this Sun/Moon combination will work together
harmoniously. Although most natives of this sign will not desire to be a
dynamic executive or administrator, they will still manage to voice their
opinions and use those inherent organizational skills to command power in
inconspicuous ways.
If there is a flaw in this sign it will be a tendency
to be overly judgmental and even downright arrogantly opinionated.
Although the observations of the Leo-Virgo are usually uncannily accurate,
they tend to be a little too outspoken in expressing them. So it’s
little wonder that they quite frequently alienate people around them.
By channeling much of the Leo ardor and enthusiasm into
work, and living up to the rigorous demands of the Virgo Moon, this group
is often in danger of becoming workaholics. The prevailing attitude is
that if they cannot lead others and bend them to their viewpoints, they
can surely out-produce them. Exacting perfectionists, these natives will
often push themselves to the brink of collapse. They can be very hard on
themselves and when exhausted, can lapse into states of hypertension,
agitation and acute anxiety. Often they will project their frustrations
onto friends and associates. Eventually, if they are wise, they learn to
use their ridged moral control to inspire those around them.
Socially the Leo-Virgo is very outgoing, charming and
congenial. They secretly long to be the life of the party, the center of
attention and the object of admiration. Virgo’s emotional reserve holds
them back. It’s difficult to let go of those inhibitions because they
feel guilty about indulging too heartily or allowing themselves too much
pleasure. The Virgo influence results in an austere and stoic approach to
life. Happily the Leo fire balances this personality with passion and
courage.
The very characteristics which might annoy others in
close proximity to the Leo-Virgo make this combination ideally suited to
journalism and communications. These pursuits require mental acuteness,
intellectual agility and detailed analysis. That fine Virgo logic combined
with Leo’s refusal of defeat provides fertile ground in any career which
can satisfy an inquiring mind. Although this sign will work best in a
structured and well organized framework, that sense of independence and
courage must be allowed freedom of expression.
Romance may be difficult for the Leo-Virgo. Highly
sensual and very appealing to the opposite sex, the Leo Sun will struggle
with the inhibited Virgo. A sense of honor and ethical Puritanism may
cause confusion when faced with changing sexual mores. The search for the
ideal partner with whom this sign can share a lifelong relationship will
be long and fraught with many disappointments. High standards and a
passionate nature can often lead these individuals on a quixotic quest.
However, once they do become serious in a romantic attachment they must
learn to curb their criticism and cultivate tolerance. When this is
achieved they will find great happiness with a well chosen partner. Loyal
and responsive, this sign will demand that their partner meets their
expectations. A Leo-Virgo will not put up with disloyalty from a lover.
Coins of the Realm: The Evolution of Thai Money
by Jan Olav Aamlid
President - House of the Golden Coin (http://www.thaicoins.com)
The Treasury Department, Ministry of Finance recently
released a new book, “The Evolution of Thai Money”. The book has 112
pages in A4 format written in Thai and English. The book is sold at The
Pavilion of Regalia, Royal Decorations and Coins at the Royal Grand Palace
in Bangkok for 500 baht. It can also be bought from dealers of coins and
stamps, but the price might be slightly higher.
The
book provides a lot of valuable information, not only for collectors of
coins, but for anyone who would like to learn how this land developed from
pre-historical human settlements through to the Thailand we know today.
The first part describes the different Kingdoms, Funan, Dvaravati,
Srivijaya, Lawo, and Lands of Independence.
The book is illustrated with paintings, drawings and
actual photos of coins. This makes it a book that will fascinate even the
very young ones, and with the guidance of a grown up, can illustrate how
transactions were done even before we got coins and banknotes.
The coins from the Funan Kingdom, 1st to 6th Centuries
AD, some of the earliest coins found in Thailand, shows on one side a half
sun spreading rays between two rows of fish eggs. On the other side is
Sriwatasi design that represents Phra Narai in accordance with the Brahmin
religion, with Bandoh, a small Brahmin ceremonial drum, in one corner and
the Swastika, a symbol that represents good-luck in another. At the top of
each coin the sign of the sun and the moon appears, all according to the
new book.
One
of the bigger coins from the Funan period was made in silver; it weighs
about 9 grams and is slightly bigger than the circulating 10 baht-coin.
Some of the smaller coins are about the size of a one baht coin. If one
wanted to buy something for a small amount during the Funan period, but
only had a big coin, and no change was available, the deal could still be
done. The coin would be cut in 1/2, 1/4, 1/8 and even a 1/16 parts. This
was also done in Europe, and in England and Scandinavia this was common.
The bigger coins from the Funan period, as the one
illustrated here, can be bought for about 900 to 1,500 baht in nice
condition. Rare ones are more expensive. Two halves are cheaper than a
“complete” coin, so no money can be made cutting the coin.
Several of the coins from the different early Kingdoms
illustrated and described in the book can from time to time be found in
the market. Some of the coins can be bought for as little as a few hundred
baht, and a collection of the early Thai coins can be built up without
spending a fortune.
In 1238 AD the Sukhothai Kingdom was founded. It is
said in the book that the Sukhothai Kingdom was the center of trading. As
evidence by the stone inscriptions, “...those who wish to trade in
elephants, do so; those who wish to trade in silver and gold; do so...”
In the beginning of the Sukhothai period trade was mostly paid for with
other merchandise, but bigger transactions were handled with gold and
silver. It is believed that the Pod Duang, the bullet coin, originated in
Sukhothai.
The
bullet coin was for more than 600 years the most important form of payment
in Thailand, and remained legal tender until 1908. The interest for
collecting bullet coins has increased considerably over the last few
years, but still a decent looking one baht bullet coin can be bought for
less than 500 baht.
In Thailand there have been several coins with
interesting shapes. Hoi Money was made out of silver, copper and bronze
and shaped like a small river fishing boat. These coins were used in the
northern regions of Thailand and had different marks illustrating their
place of origin. This is just one of the more interesting forms of coins
that circulated in Thailand.
The book also describes Sycee Money, Chiang Money, Tok
Money, Pak Money and Dok Mai Money, as well as several others.
The last 70 pages of the book describe the “modern”
history of Thai coins and development, from 1782 till today. The final
chapter describes a coin auction that took place last year. The objects
were from the hidings of the Ministry of Finance. The record price,
1,000,000 baht, was paid for a four baht flat coin struck in 1864 during
the reign of King Mongkut. The starting price for this interesting coin
bearing the Mongkut-Krung Siam design was 400,000 baht.
I mentioned to a friend that a four baht coin struck
some 134 years ago today is worth a million baht. The idea my friend had
was that we should put aside some of the circulating 5 baht coins today,
and we would be sure that some great-great-great grandchildren’s future
some 150 years from now would be financially secure. The four baht from
1864 was a large silver coin weighing more than 60 grams, and given
inflation probably had larger buying power at that time than the banknote
with the highest denomination has today. But the four baht coin was struck
on the occasion of the then reigning King’s 60th birthday, and in very
limited numbers. The King allowed the four baht to be worn as a decoration
similar to the Royal Decorations, and we concluded that the 5 baht coins
of today minted in millions are something totally different from the four
baht of 1864.
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